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Home ANALYSIS

The NZD is the strongest and the EUR is the weakest as the NA session begins

A.R Chowdhury by A.R Chowdhury
March 1, 2022
Reading Time: 9 mins read
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The NZD is the strongest and the EUR is the weakest as the NA session begins

Forex

The strongest to weakest of the major currencies

As the North American session begins, the NZD is the strongest of the majors, while the EUR is the weakest. The major currency pairs are relatively scrunched together indicative of a market that is awaiting the next shove.

Yesterday the ceasefire talks failed and Russian troops made their way with a 40 mile convoy to Kyiv with shelling in many of the major cities in Ukraine. Frustrated by initial efforts to force the Ukrainians to step down, the Russian forces are now targeting civilian areas. An explosion in the city of Kharkiv from an apparent rocket strike devastated a large minute straight of building killing seven people and injuring 24.

The NATO nations and corporations are all imposing economic sanctions and cutting off ties to Russia. BP, Total and Shell all announced they would be exiting their joint venture stakes and investments with Russian energy companies. Other companies have also announced that they would cease operations in Russia. Central banks and governments announced their own sanctions including currency controls. France announced that they looking to identify and seize homes, luxury cars, yachts and other France based assets held by Russian oligarchs. The EU has finalize list of Russian banks that plans to ban from using the SWIFT Interbank transfer system

The USDRUB is lower on the day. After closing yesterday at 105.29, the currency pair is at 104.04 today. Yesterday the RUB depreciated by 25.5%

  • Spot  gold 
    Gold

    Gold is the most widely traded and important commodity. Prized for its historical importance and used for trading an exchange of goods, the gold market today is estimated at nearly $2.4 trillion.The value of gold fluctuates constantly, as it trades on public exchanges where it has a price that is determined by supply and demand. Gold has historically had tremendous significance and even today is extremely sought after. Gold has been used as a currency as it doesn’t corrode, and the material allows for some absorption of light creating a yellow glow, which lends the name yellow metal.Ultimately, institutional and retail investors buy and sell gold contracts or physical gold, thus creating the demand and supply flow.This can be pure speculation, to acquire or distribute physical gold, or as a hedge for commercial application. For day-traders, the purpose of trading gold is to profit from its daily price movements.How to Trade GoldDay-trading gold is speculating on its short-term price movements. Of note, physical gold is not actually handled or taken possession of, rather the transactions take place electronically and only profits or losses are reflected in the trading account.There are a number of ways to ultimately trade gold. Retail brokers typically offer exposure to gold through contracts-for-difference (CFDs).Beyond retail brokers, the main way to trade gold is via a futures contract. This represents an agreement to buy or sell something, i.e. gold at a future date. Buying a gold futures contract doesn’t mean you actually have to take possession of the physical commodity.Day traders close out all contracts (trades) each day and make a profit based on the difference between the price they bought the contract and the price they sold it at. However, on a futures exchange, gold moves in $0.10 increments only. This increment is known as a tick. It is the smallest movement a futures contract can make. If you buy or sell a futures contract, how many ticks the price moves away from your entry price determines your profit or loss.

    Gold is the most widely traded and important commodity. Prized for its historical importance and used for trading an exchange of goods, the gold market today is estimated at nearly $2.4 trillion.The value of gold fluctuates constantly, as it trades on public exchanges where it has a price that is determined by supply and demand. Gold has historically had tremendous significance and even today is extremely sought after. Gold has been used as a currency as it doesn’t corrode, and the material allows for some absorption of light creating a yellow glow, which lends the name yellow metal.Ultimately, institutional and retail investors buy and sell gold contracts or physical gold, thus creating the demand and supply flow.This can be pure speculation, to acquire or distribute physical gold, or as a hedge for commercial application. For day-traders, the purpose of trading gold is to profit from its daily price movements.How to Trade GoldDay-trading gold is speculating on its short-term price movements. Of note, physical gold is not actually handled or taken possession of, rather the transactions take place electronically and only profits or losses are reflected in the trading account.There are a number of ways to ultimately trade gold. Retail brokers typically offer exposure to gold through contracts-for-difference (CFDs).Beyond retail brokers, the main way to trade gold is via a futures contract. This represents an agreement to buy or sell something, i.e. gold at a future date. Buying a gold futures contract doesn’t mean you actually have to take possession of the physical commodity.Day traders close out all contracts (trades) each day and make a profit based on the difference between the price they bought the contract and the price they sold it at. However, on a futures exchange, gold moves in $0.10 increments only. This increment is known as a tick. It is the smallest movement a futures contract can make. If you buy or sell a futures contract, how many ticks the price moves away from your entry price determines your profit or loss.
    Read this Term
    is trading up on the day on this flight to safety flows. The current price is trading up $6.37 or 0.34% $1915
  •  Crude oil 
    Crude Oil

    Crude oil is the most popular tradable instrument in the energy sector, offering exposure to global market conditions, geopolitical risk, and economics. The instrument is strategically relied upon and situated in the global economy. Crude oil has proven to be a unique option for traders given volatility and the efficacy of both swing trading and longer-term strategies. Despite its popularity, crude oil is a very complex investing instrument, given the litany of fluctuations in oil prices, risk, and impact of politics stemming from OPEC. Short for the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries, OPEC operates as an intergovernmental organization of 13 countries, helping set and dictate the global oil market.How to Trade Crude Oil Crude oil is most commonly traded as an exchange-traded fund (ETF) or through other instruments with exposure to it. This includes energy stocks, the USD/CAD, and other investing options. Crude oil itself is traded across a duality of markets, including the West Texas Intermediate Crude (WTI) and Brent crude. Brent is the more relied upon index in recent years, while WTI is more heavily traded across futures trading at the time of writing. Other than geopolitical events or decisions by OPEC, crude oil can move due to a variety of different ways.  The most basic is through simple supply and demand, which is affected by global output. Increased industrial output, economic prosperity, and other factors all play a role in crude prices. By extension, recessions, lockdowns, or other stifling factors can also influence crude prices. For example, an oversupply or mitigated demand due to the aforementioned factors would result in lower crude prices. This is due to traders selling crude oil futures or other instruments.  Should demand rise or production plateau, traders will bid increasingly on crude, whereby driving prices up.

    Crude oil is the most popular tradable instrument in the energy sector, offering exposure to global market conditions, geopolitical risk, and economics. The instrument is strategically relied upon and situated in the global economy. Crude oil has proven to be a unique option for traders given volatility and the efficacy of both swing trading and longer-term strategies. Despite its popularity, crude oil is a very complex investing instrument, given the litany of fluctuations in oil prices, risk, and impact of politics stemming from OPEC. Short for the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries, OPEC operates as an intergovernmental organization of 13 countries, helping set and dictate the global oil market.How to Trade Crude Oil Crude oil is most commonly traded as an exchange-traded fund (ETF) or through other instruments with exposure to it. This includes energy stocks, the USD/CAD, and other investing options. Crude oil itself is traded across a duality of markets, including the West Texas Intermediate Crude (WTI) and Brent crude. Brent is the more relied upon index in recent years, while WTI is more heavily traded across futures trading at the time of writing. Other than geopolitical events or decisions by OPEC, crude oil can move due to a variety of different ways.  The most basic is through simple supply and demand, which is affected by global output. Increased industrial output, economic prosperity, and other factors all play a role in crude prices. By extension, recessions, lockdowns, or other stifling factors can also influence crude prices. For example, an oversupply or mitigated demand due to the aforementioned factors would result in lower crude prices. This is due to traders selling crude oil futures or other instruments.  Should demand rise or production plateau, traders will bid increasingly on crude, whereby driving prices up.
    Read this Term
    is also sharply higher with the price back above the $100 level and trading at a new cycle high. The current price is trading at $101.11. That’s up $5.90 on the day
  • Bitcoin is trading sharply higher at $44,669

The US stocks are lower as are the European shares.

  • Dow industrial average is down 257 points after yesterday’s -166.15 point decline
  • S&P index down 37 points after yesterday’s -10.69 point decline
  • NASDAQ index is -125 points after yesterday’s 56.77 point rise

In the European equity markets, the major indices are all sharply lower:

  • German DAX, -2.7%
  • France’s CAC, -2.9%
  • UK’s FTSE 100, -1.0%
  • Spain’s Ibex, -1.65%
  • Italy’s FTSE MIB -2.5%

US bond yields are sharply lower for the second consecutive day.

yields

European yields are also tumbling as funds flow into the safety of their debt instruments:

Europe yields

Today is the first day of the month which corresponds with the release of the Markit PMI data estimate as well as the ISM Manufacturing PMI (at 9:45 AM and 10:00 AM respectively).

The Markit PMI is expected to come in at the preliminary estimate of 57.5. The ISM manufacturing PMI is expected at 58.0 versus 57.6 last month.

Prior to those releases, Canada GDP will be released at 8:30 AM ET with the Q4 annualized growth rate of 6.5% versus 5.4% and third-quarter. The month-to-month is expected to rise by 0.1% versus 0.6% last month.

At 9:30 AM, the Markit PMI for Canada will be released with last month’s reading coming at 56.2

Also at 10 AM ET, the US construction spending for January is expected to rise by 0.2% after a 0.2% gain in December

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A.R Chowdhury

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