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Home ANALYSIS

USDCHF moves to a new high and tests its 100 hour MA

A.R Chowdhury by A.R Chowdhury
April 1, 2022
Reading Time: 5 mins read
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USDCHF

USDCHF moves up to test its 100 hour moving average

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The  USDCHF 
USD/CHF

The USD/CHF is the currency pair encompassing the dollar of the United States of America (symbol $, code USD), and the Swiss franc of Switzerland (code CHF). The pair’s exchange rate indicates how many Swiss francs are needed in order to purchase one US dollar. For example, when the USD/CHF is trading at 1.2500, it means 1 US dollar is equivalent to 1.25 Swiss francs. The US Dollar (USD) is the world’s most traded currency, whilst the Swiss franc (CHF) is the world’s sixth most traded currency, resulting in a very liquid pair, with tight spreads, often staying within the 0 pip to 2 pip spread range on most forex brokers. Even though the Swiss franc might not be as liquid as the euro or yen, the USD/CHF currency pair is still liquid enough to be known as the fourth major. Trading the USD/CHF has its advantages and disadvantages. The main advantage being, a lot of traders often prefer to invest in the Swiss franc when economic or political instability is lurking.This is due to Switzerland traditionally being known as a safe haven, as it generally remains neutral and silent on many major geopolitical events, for example it never participates in wars. These investments can trigger large swings for traders, who may capitalize on such moves. The main disadvantage is that the US dollar is the world’s reserve currency.Thus, traders also can flock to the USD, trying to ascertain which currency is more likely to be embarked upon can prove tough at times. USD/CHF Still Living in Shadows of 2015The USD/CHF otherwise is seen as one of the lesser volatile pairs, with a tendency to follow the Euro, hence the negative correlation between it and the EUR/USD.The currency pair will forever be tethered to the events of January 2015 with the Swiss National Bank (SNB) Crisis which roiled currency markets.In this instance, the SNB abruptly decided to abandon the Swiss franc (CHF) currency peg with the euro, convulsing markets.

The USD/CHF is the currency pair encompassing the dollar of the United States of America (symbol $, code USD), and the Swiss franc of Switzerland (code CHF). The pair’s exchange rate indicates how many Swiss francs are needed in order to purchase one US dollar. For example, when the USD/CHF is trading at 1.2500, it means 1 US dollar is equivalent to 1.25 Swiss francs. The US Dollar (USD) is the world’s most traded currency, whilst the Swiss franc (CHF) is the world’s sixth most traded currency, resulting in a very liquid pair, with tight spreads, often staying within the 0 pip to 2 pip spread range on most forex brokers. Even though the Swiss franc might not be as liquid as the euro or yen, the USD/CHF currency pair is still liquid enough to be known as the fourth major. Trading the USD/CHF has its advantages and disadvantages. The main advantage being, a lot of traders often prefer to invest in the Swiss franc when economic or political instability is lurking.This is due to Switzerland traditionally being known as a safe haven, as it generally remains neutral and silent on many major geopolitical events, for example it never participates in wars. These investments can trigger large swings for traders, who may capitalize on such moves. The main disadvantage is that the US dollar is the world’s reserve currency.Thus, traders also can flock to the USD, trying to ascertain which currency is more likely to be embarked upon can prove tough at times. USD/CHF Still Living in Shadows of 2015The USD/CHF otherwise is seen as one of the lesser volatile pairs, with a tendency to follow the Euro, hence the negative correlation between it and the EUR/USD.The currency pair will forever be tethered to the events of January 2015 with the Swiss National Bank (SNB) Crisis which roiled currency markets.In this instance, the SNB abruptly decided to abandon the Swiss franc (CHF) currency peg with the euro, convulsing markets.
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has pushed higher with the dollar buying in the NY session, and in the process has moved up to test the falling 100 hour MA at 0.92778.

Sellers leaned against the moving average level on the first test, and the price of the USDCHF has since moved down to current level of 0.92637.

If the 100 hour moving average level can hold resistance, a rotation back toward an earlier swing high near 0.9249 will be eyed. That level was also swing lows going back to March 7, March 8 and March 9 (see red numbered circles).

Conversely a break above the 100 hour moving average would target the 50% midpoint of the weeks trading range at 0.9288 followed by the falling 200 hour moving average at 0.92975.

For the week, the high price was reached on Monday at 0.93809. That high tested a swing high going back to March 18, and a swing area between 0.93749 and 0.93819. On Tuesday, that area was tested again and found sellers against the lower extreme. Buyers turned to sellers in push the price to the downside.

On Wednesday and Thursday, the price traded above and below its 100 day moving average and 200 day moving average. That pattern continue today. However, the last move above the 100 day moving average, found support buyers against the level. The price based and moved higher.

Now with the 100 hour moving average holding resistance, traders have found both the support and resistance levels in play. Traders will now look for a break for the next move.

Watch 0.92494 interim close on a test now.

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A.R Chowdhury

A.R Chowdhury

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