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Home ANALYSIS

USDCAD backtracks on USD selling

A.R Chowdhury by A.R Chowdhury
March 9, 2022
Reading Time: 4 mins read
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USDCAD backtracks on USD selling

USDCAD

USDCAD backs off from 1.2900

The  USDCAD 
USD/CAD

The USD/CAD is the currency pair encompassing the dollar of the United States of America (symbol $, code USD), and the Canadian dollar of Canada (symbol $ code CAD). The pair’s exchange rate indicates how many Canadian dollars are needed in order to purchase one US dollar. For example, when the USD/CAD is trading at 1.3500, it means 1 US dollar is equivalent to 1.35 Canadian dollars. The US dollar (USD) is the world’s most traded currency, whilst the Canadian dollar (CAD) is the world’s seventh most traded currency. The United States and Canada are geographical neighbors, and as a result there is a lot of trade between the two countries. Thus, there is often decent volatility and low spreads for the USD/CAD, typically between 1 and 3 pips on most foreign exchange brokers. Factors Influencing the USD/CADThere are a number of important economic or news releases that can affect the USD/CAD. This includes among others, Non-Farm Payroll data for the US that are released on the first Friday of each month. Such metrics tell us whether employment is rising or falling, while the Gross Domestic Product (GDP) for Canada or the US, measure the total value of all goods and services produced by the country. In addition, the USD/CAD is known as a “Commodity Pair”, as Canada possesses large amounts of natural resources, specifically oil, which is its most traded commodity. As a result, it’s important for long term speculators of USD/CAD to keep a close eye on crude oil developments due to the strong negative correlation.

The USD/CAD is the currency pair encompassing the dollar of the United States of America (symbol $, code USD), and the Canadian dollar of Canada (symbol $ code CAD). The pair’s exchange rate indicates how many Canadian dollars are needed in order to purchase one US dollar. For example, when the USD/CAD is trading at 1.3500, it means 1 US dollar is equivalent to 1.35 Canadian dollars. The US dollar (USD) is the world’s most traded currency, whilst the Canadian dollar (CAD) is the world’s seventh most traded currency. The United States and Canada are geographical neighbors, and as a result there is a lot of trade between the two countries. Thus, there is often decent volatility and low spreads for the USD/CAD, typically between 1 and 3 pips on most foreign exchange brokers. Factors Influencing the USD/CADThere are a number of important economic or news releases that can affect the USD/CAD. This includes among others, Non-Farm Payroll data for the US that are released on the first Friday of each month. Such metrics tell us whether employment is rising or falling, while the Gross Domestic Product (GDP) for Canada or the US, measure the total value of all goods and services produced by the country. In addition, the USD/CAD is known as a “Commodity Pair”, as Canada possesses large amounts of natural resources, specifically oil, which is its most traded commodity. As a result, it’s important for long term speculators of USD/CAD to keep a close eye on crude oil developments due to the strong negative correlation.
Read this Term
raced up over the previous 4 trading days moving from a low on the daily chart between the 200 and 100 day MAs at 1.2586 and moving up a high of 1.2900 yesterday. The high price yesterday tested a swing area between 1.2877 and 1.2996. The price extended above that area but only by a few pips.

Today, the high stalled within that area at 1.28932 and rotated back to the downside with the overall dollar selling on the flight out of the safety of the USD.

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The fall has retraced most of the gains seen yesterday, and took the pair back between another swing area between 1.27857 and 1.28132. The low price reached 1.2802 so far. Move below that area would be more bearish.

Drilling to the 5 minute chart below, the run higher from the Monday low has now seen a retracement between the 38.2% to the 50% midpoint between 1.28178 and 1.27923 (the 50% is near the 1.27857 level on the daily chart). There are a number of swing highs and lows between 1.27913 and 1.2806 as well.

In the short term, moving below that area would give sellers more reasons to sell. Another target would be the rising 100 hour MA at 1.27778. The low on Monday, found support buyers near the 100 hour MA at the time.

With the 100 hour MA at 1.27778 (and moving higher), the swing level on the daily chart at 1.27857 and the 50% midpoint of the week’s trading range at 1.27923, the area between 1.2778 and 1.27923 is shaping up as a key downside support area.

Be aware.

USDCAD

USDCAD on the 5 minute chart
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A.R Chowdhury

A.R Chowdhury

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